How Heat Check is calculatedBase plus capped results form, MLP form, Fantasy and market signals.
Heat Check score = Base + Results form (cap ±5) + MLP form (cap ±5) + Fantasy (cap ±4) + Market (cap ±3)
- Base — average of PKLStats Rating v2 and the WPM Results rating when both exist; otherwise whichever exists. Results Elo is mapped onto the PKLStats Rating v2 scale and capped at ±12 from the median eligible rating.
- Results form (cap ±5) — (win % over the last 20 matches − 50) ÷ 10.
- MLP form (cap ±5) — (2026 MLP team doubles win % − 50) ÷ 10.
- Fantasy (cap ±4) — 8 × (percentile of last-3-gameweek Fantasy League points − 0.5).
- Market (cap ±3) — 6 × (percentile of Traders quote change since open − 0.5).
- Eligible — High or Medium confidence, or 15+ counted matches since 1 January 2026. A missing signal counts 0.
How Heat Check works. PKLStats Rating v2 explained (PDF). MLP team profiles.
WPM Results rating 99.2Confidence: Medium
- Base 99.2
- Results form +5.0
- MLP form 0.0
- Fantasy 0.0
- Market 0.0
Why: results 99.2 from 17-0 across RAQT; 17-0 in last 17 (+5.0). Fantasy: — pts in the last 3 gameweeks. Market: quote — since open.
WPM Results rating 99.6Confidence: Medium
- Base 99.6
- Results form +4.0
- MLP form 0.0
- Fantasy 0.0
- Market 0.0
Why: results 99.6 from 25-2 across RAQT; 18-2 in last 20 (+4.0). Fantasy: — pts in the last 3 gameweeks. Market: quote — since open.
WPM Results rating 97.6Confidence: Medium
- Base 97.6
- Results form +2.5
- MLP form 0.0
- Fantasy 0.0
- Market 0.0
Why: results 97.6 from 12-4 across RAQT; 12-4 in last 16 (+2.5). Fantasy: — pts in the last 3 gameweeks. Market: quote — since open.
WPM Results rating 94.8Confidence: Medium
- Base 94.8
- Results form +3.5
- MLP form 0.0
- Fantasy 0.0
- Market 0.0
Why: results 94.8 from 17-3 across RAQT; 17-3 in last 20 (+3.5). Fantasy: — pts in the last 3 gameweeks. Market: quote — since open.
WPM Results rating 98.3Confidence: Medium
- Base 98.3
- Results form +2.0
- MLP form 0.0
- Fantasy 0.0
- Market 0.0
Why: results 98.3 from 22-6 across RAQT; 14-6 in last 20 (+2.0). Fantasy: — pts in the last 3 gameweeks. Market: quote — since open.
WPM Results rating 96.4Confidence: Medium
- Base 96.4
- Results form +1.5
- MLP form 0.0
- Fantasy 0.0
- Market 0.0
Why: results 96.4 from 18-7 across RAQT; 13-7 in last 20 (+1.5). Fantasy: — pts in the last 3 gameweeks. Market: quote — since open.
WPM Results rating 94.8Confidence: Medium
- Base 94.8
- Results form +2.0
- MLP form 0.0
- Fantasy 0.0
- Market 0.0
Why: results 94.8 from 18-8 across RAQT; 14-6 in last 20 (+2.0). Fantasy: — pts in the last 3 gameweeks. Market: quote — since open.
WPM Results rating 94.8Confidence: Medium
- Base 94.8
- Results form +1.5
- MLP form 0.0
- Fantasy 0.0
- Market 0.0
Why: results 94.8 from 17-9 across RAQT; 13-7 in last 20 (+1.5). Fantasy: — pts in the last 3 gameweeks. Market: quote — since open.
WPM Results rating 93.4Confidence: Medium
- Base 93.4
- Results form +0.3
- MLP form 0.0
- Fantasy 0.0
- Market 0.0
Why: results 93.4 from 8-7 across RAQT; 8-7 in last 15 (+0.3). Fantasy: — pts in the last 3 gameweeks. Market: quote — since open.
WPM Results rating 94.2Confidence: Medium
- Base 94.2
- Results form 0.0
- MLP form 0.0
- Fantasy 0.0
- Market 0.0
Why: results 94.2 from 12-11 across RAQT; 10-10 in last 20 (0.0). Fantasy: — pts in the last 3 gameweeks. Market: quote — since open.
WPM Results rating 94.0Confidence: Medium
- Base 94.0
- Results form 0.0
- MLP form 0.0
- Fantasy 0.0
- Market 0.0
Why: results 94.0 from 13-10 across RAQT; 10-10 in last 20 (0.0). Fantasy: — pts in the last 3 gameweeks. Market: quote — since open.
WPM Results rating 93.2Confidence: Medium
- Base 93.2
- Results form +0.3
- MLP form 0.0
- Fantasy 0.0
- Market 0.0
Why: results 93.2 from 8-7 across RAQT; 8-7 in last 15 (+0.3). Fantasy: — pts in the last 3 gameweeks. Market: quote — since open.
Results: 17331 publicly reported matches from 127 events (APP, MLP, NPL, Pickleball England, PPA Australia, PPA Challenger, PPA Asia, PPA, Pickle Pro Tour, RTA, RAQT) since 1 January 2026, counted by WPM; snapshot 26 October 2026. Sources.
Fantasy League snapshot 26 October 2026 (gameweek 43); Traders snapshot 26 October 2026.
Version v2, published 26 October 2026. Ratings as of 31 August 2026; MLP results through end of 2026 season (all events in MLP's official feed). Match data from MLP's official results feed; tour-based starting values from public PickleWave results; PKLStats' own model.