Heat Check: el método

Heat Check v2 es global. Combina PKLStats Rating v2 con una valoración de resultados de WPM: nuestro propio Elo contado con cada partido profesional final de individuales y dobles publicado por el PPA Tour, PPA Tour Asia y PPA Tour Australia en los últimos 12 meses. Después suma señales pequeñas y con tope: forma en los últimos 20 partidos, forma de equipo en la MLP, Fantasy League y mercado de Traders.

La base hace casi todo el trabajo. Las listas regionales (Europa, Reino Unido, Asia-Pacífico, Latinoamérica) son las mismas puntuaciones filtradas por nacionalidad cuando el PPA Tour la publica, si no por dónde compite el jugador.

La fórmula

Heat Check score = Base + Results form (cap ±5) + MLP form (cap ±5) + Fantasy (cap ±4) + Market (cap ±3). Base = average of PKLStats Rating v2 and the WPM Results rating when a player has both (so PKLStats Rating v2 carries half the weight it did in v1); otherwise whichever exists. The WPM Results rating is our own Elo (start 1500, K 24, doubles use the team average, best discipline with 8+ matches) over final open-level pro singles and doubles matches published since 1 January 2026 by the PPA Tour and its regional tours, the APP Tour, MLP, D-Joy, NPL and Pickleball England (PickleBook), mapped onto the PKLStats Rating v2 scale by a straight-line fit over players who have both, then capped at ±12 from the median eligible PKLStats Rating v2. Results form = (win % over the last 20 matches − 50) ÷ 10. MLP form = (2026 MLP team doubles win % − 50) ÷ 10. Fantasy = 8 × (percentile of last-3-gameweek Fantasy League points − 0.5). Market = 6 × (percentile of Traders quote change since open − 0.5). A missing signal counts 0. Eligible: High or Medium confidence (a PKLStats confidence, or 15+ counted matches since 1 January 2026; 40+ is High). Names that appear in two regions without a confirmed identity are left out.

Solo entran jugadores con confianza alta o media: una valoración PKLStats alta o media, o al menos 15 partidos contados desde el 1 de enero de 2026 (40 o más es alta).

Fuentes

Activas en v2

PKLStats Rating v2; resultados de equipos MLP 2026 de PKLStats; marcadores profesionales públicos del PPA Tour y sus giras de Europa, Asia, Australia y Canadá, el APP Tour, MLP, D-Joy, NPL, Pickleball England (PickleBook), el Pickle Pro Tour y las páginas públicas de torneos de RAQT (new.raqt.com), contados por WPM; nacionalidad de la lista pública del PPA Tour; PB Fantasy League y Traders desde sus páginas públicas.

Próximamente

Los Nacionales de Pickleball England y el EPF European Open cuando se jueguen; Latinoamérica cuando publique marcadores por partido (hoy solo campeones); APP Tour Asia si su robots.txt lo permite; un panel semanal de votantes (peso 0 hasta su lanzamiento).

Resultados contados (desde el 1 January 2026)

• PPA Challenger: 6484 partidos, 17 torneos
• APP: 2392 partidos, 11 torneos
• Pickle Pro Tour: 1607 partidos, 6 torneos
• MLP: 1289 partidos, 13 torneos
• PPA Asia: 1139 partidos, 9 torneos
• PPA: 1098 partidos, 5 torneos
• RTA: 958 partidos, 51 torneos
• PPA Australia: 913 partidos, 6 torneos
• RAQT: 560 partidos, 7 torneos
• Pickleball England: 476 partidos, 1 torneos
• NPL: 415 partidos, 1 torneos

Valoración de resultados WPM ≈ 0.0800 × Elo + -29.5, ajustada con 101 jugadores que tienen ambos números y limitada a ±12 de la mediana PKLStats elegible. El Elo de grupos que apenas cruzan con los circuitos pro puede salir alto; el límite lo contiene.

Fuentes revisadas y no usadas

• APP Tour Asia (sportssync.asia): not used: robots.txt disallows /api
• Latin American championships and national tours: not used: no public match-score source (only champions or ranking tables, which we do not use)
• Pickleball England National Championships 2026 (29 Oct–1 Nov): not yet played
• EPF European Open 2026, Antalya (2–8 Nov): not yet played
• UPA-A (UPA Asia): covered through the PPA Asia feeds and MLP; no separate public score feed
• DUPR, APP/GPA/PPA ranking boards: never used: third-party rating or ranking tables
• PPA Tour Europe (Portoroz P125, Barcelona P250): not available: the PPA public score feed returns no matches for these events and the draws on pickleballtournaments.com refuse our crawler (403)
• Pickleball Tournaments (pickleballtournaments.com) draws: PPA Asia/Australia/Europe side events, NZ Open, Kuala Lumpur and other opens: not used: bot protection refuses our crawler (403); we do not bypass it
• NZ Open 2026 (New Zealand nationals): not used: only medal tables are published there, no match scores
• Australian Pickleball Championships 2026: not used: no public match-score source found
• French, German, Dutch and Italian national opens: not found: no public match-score pages located for 2026 editions
• pickleball.com results: not used: robots.txt allows crawling but CloudFront refuses our crawler (403) on every page and sitemap
• World Pickleball Championship (WPC) Series and qualifiers 2025–2026: not used: draws and match scores are published only on pickleball.global (robots.txt disallows all crawlers except Googlebot); worldpickleballchampionship.com shows the calendar and ranking points but no match scores; press reports give podiums only
• Pickleball Team Leagues: not used: robots.txt allows crawling but CloudFront refuses our crawler (403)
• pickleball.global tournaments: not used: robots.txt disallows all crawlers except Googlebot

Regional lists

Europe: European players, the UK included, ordered mainly on results at European and UK events (Pickle Pro Tour, RTA Europe, Pickleball England, RAQT). Nationality is the country shown on the PPA Tour's public player list. UK: British players, ordered mainly on results at UK events. Nationality is the country shown on the PPA Tour's public player list. Asia: Players from Asia, ordered mainly on results at Asian events (PPA Asia, APP and D-Joy events in Vietnam, MLP Asia). Nationality is the country shown on the PPA Tour's public player list. Australia & NZ: Players from Australia, New Zealand and the Pacific, ordered mainly on results at events there (PPA Australia, NPL). Nationality is the country shown on the PPA Tour's public player list. Latin America: Players from Mexico, Central America, the Caribbean or South America, ordered mainly on results at events in the region. Nationality is the country shown on the PPA Tour's public player list. Nationality comes from the country code on the PPA Tour's public player list; without one we use the region where 60% or more of the player's matches were played. When two listed players share a name with different nationalities, we leave the nationality blank unless their matches can be told apart by tour (for example, the Australian Ben Johns at PPA Tour Australia events is counted separately from the American Ben Johns).

How a regional list is ordered: the base score uses a results rating computed only from matches at events in that region (Europe counts European and UK events), reaching full weight at 15 regional matches and blended below that with the global base, whose distance from the median counts at 50% because it is built mostly on US tour play. Last-20 form at regional events is added in full. Form at events elsewhere (mainly the US PPA and APP tours), MLP team form, fantasy and market each count at 25% of their global weight. To be listed, a player needs at least 5 matches at events in the region within the 12 months before the latest result in our data; players who only play in the US do not appear. Asia and Australia & NZ are separate lists: Asia-Pacific events are split by where they are played.

Event tiers: big regional events count more than small local ones. Each event's field strength is the average WPM results Elo of everyone who played in it (our own Elo from match scores, never a third-party rating). Events are split into thirds by field strength: tier 1 (top third) counts in full, tier 2 at 75% and tier 3 at 50%, both in the regional Elo and in regional last-20 form. The field-strength list is published in our data file (event-tiers.json). Europa · Reino Unido · Asia · Australia y NZ · Latinoamérica

Lo que no es

No es un pronóstico, una cuota ni un precio, y no reproduce rankings, puntos ni valoraciones de terceros. No usa tablas de ranking ni de valoración de APP, GPA, DUPR, PPA ni de nadie: solo marcadores de partidos publicados, que WPM cuenta para construir sus propios números. La nacionalidad sale de la lista pública de jugadores del PPA Tour; si no hay, el jugador se ubica donde jugó al menos el 60% de sus partidos.

PKLStats Rating v2 (PKLStats' own model), published table for reference date 2026-08-31. Built from official MLP 2026 doubles game results (3,890 MLP games 2024-2026) with tour-based starting values from 12,184 public PickleWave tour matches (to 2026-05-03).

Ridge-regression pair model on official MLP doubles games; each game's point margin is shared among the four players on court, with a shared strength plus a small offset per discipline, recent games weighted more (120-day half-life), and starting values from public tour results. 80% bands from 200 resamples.

80% band: the range containing the rating in 80% of 200 resamples of the underlying games.

Heat Check · Rankings · MLP 2026